Safran reports first quarter 2023 revenue - Strong start of the year in commercial engines
Paris, April 26, 2023
- Narrowbody air traffic back to 2019 level
- LEAP deliveries up 53%, in line with full year target
- Full-year 2023 outlook reaffirmed
Q1 2023 adjusted data
- Revenue €5,266 million, up 29.4% (24.7% organic)
Q1 2023 consolidated data
- Revenue: €5,353 million
- All figures in this press release represent adjusted data, except where noted. Please refer to the definitions and reconciliation between Q1 2023 consolidated revenue and adjusted revenue. Please refer to the definitions contained in the footnotes and in the Notes on page 6 of this press statement.
- Organic variations exclude changes in scope and currency impacts for the period.
CEO Olivier Andriès said: “Safran had a strong start of the year, especially in civil aftermarket which is benefiting from the recovery in narrowbody traffic to pre-crisis levels and from airlines' readiness plan for the summer season. Our deliveries of LEAP engines have stepped up as planned, an encouraging performance in a context of persistent difficulties in the global supply chain. We are committed to meeting our customer commitments and remain both vigilant and fully confident in our efforts to offset inflation and to deliver our financial performance for the year.”
Q1 2023 revenue
The global narrowbody capacity is back to 2019 level in Q1 2023 buoyed by a rebound in Chinese domestic air traffic after the lift of travel restrictions in December 2022. In the first three months of 2023, narrowbody ASK were at 100% (on average) of 2019.
Q1 2023 revenue increased by 29.4% at €5,266 million compared to Q1 2022. Growth was mainly fueled by Propulsion and Aircraft Interiors activities. Change in scope was €15 million1. Currency impact of €175 million reflects a positive translation impact of USD revenues, with an average €/$ spot rate of 1.07 in Q1 2023 (1.12 in Q1 2022). €/$ hedge rate was at 1.13 (1.15 in Q1 2022).
On an organic basis, Q1 2023 revenue increased by 24.7%:
- Propulsion increased by 34.9% driven by a strong civil aftermarket activity (+38.1% in $) supported by a high level of spare parts sales for CFM56 and higher than expected revenue of LEAP RPFH2 contracts3. High thrust engines spare parts sales displayed a decent growth during the quarter. In Q1 2023, LEAP deliveries stepped up by 53%, reaching 366 units compared with 239 in Q1 2022, a sequential increase of 13% from 324 units in Q4 2022 and are in line with full year target. Military engine activities were up mainly due to higher M88 deliveries. Helicopter turbine activities increased slightly both for OE and services;
- Equipment & Defense was up 10.3% driven by strong aftermarket services in all division. OE sales were constrained by industry-wide supply chain difficulties and by downwards revised demand. Aftermarket activities have been particularly strong for carbon brakes, nacelles and aerosystems activities. Electronics & Defense activities were flattish;
- Aircraft Interiors revenue increased by 37.7% driven by spare parts deliveries both for Seats and Cabin. OE activities increased to a lesser extent mainly for Cabin. Business class seats deliveries were down at 324 in Q1 2023 compared to 346 in Q1 2022.
1 Divestment of Pioneer Aerospace in April 2022 and Arresting Systems in June 2022. Acquisition of Orolia in July 2022.
2 Rate per Flight Hours.
3 As a reminder, accounting wise, no margin recognition for LEAP RPFH contracts up to 2025.
The hedge book amounts to $53.7 billion in April 2023, compared to $52.6 billion in January 2023.
2023 is hedged: targeted hedge rate of $1.13, for an estimated net exposure of $10.0 billion.
2024 is hedged: targeted hedge rate between $1.13 and 1.15, for an estimated net exposure of $11.0 billion.
2025 and 2026 are hedged: targeted hedge rate between $1.12 and 1.14, for a respective estimated net exposure of $12.0 billion and $13.0 billion.
2027 is partially hedged: $10.2 billion hedged out of an estimated net exposure of $14.0 billion.
Liability management transaction (2027 OCEANEs)
Purchase of up to 9.4 million shares announced on October 28, 2022 in order to hedge the potential dilution of 2027 convertible bonds4:
- As at March 31, 2023, Safran already repurchased 6.9 million shares;
- On April 7, 2023, Safran has entered into an agreement for the implementation of a new tranche of this repurchase. According to this agreement, Safran will acquire up to Euro 350 million worth of ordinary shares from April 11, 2023 and no later than June 9, 2023.
Those shares will be delivered to 2027 OCEANEs’ holders if and when they exercise their conversion right.
4 c.9.24 million convertible bonds maturing in May 2027 (2027 OCEANEs) for a total nominal value of €1,000M and a unit par value of €108.23. Conversion ratio currently set at 1.009. Current conversion price of €107.26 with a potential dilution of 2.18% of capital. Redemption at maturity or early redemption at Safran’s discretion from June 2024 if the stock price exceeds 130% of conversion price (currently c.139€). Refer to the Terms and Conditions of the 2027 OCEANEs available on Safran website.
Cargo and catering activities (within Safran Cabin perimeter) closing is expected in Q2 2023.
Aubert & Duval share purchase agreement signed with Airbus and Tikehau Capital on June 21st, 2022. Closing expected at the end of April 2023 and the first consolidation (equity method) within Safran Propulsion division will start from May 1st, 2023.
Thales electrical systems activities closing is expected in H2 2023.
Full-year 2023 outlook reaffirmed
Safran expects to achieve for full-year 2023 (at current perimeter, adjusted data, €/$ spot rate of 1.05 and hedge rate of 1.13):
- Revenue of at least €23.0 billion;
- Recurring operating income of c.€3.0 billion;
- Free Cash Flow of at least €2.5 billion, subject to payment schedule of some advance payments.
This outlook is based notably, but not exclusively, on the following assumptions:
- No further disruption to the world economy;
- Air traffic: narrowbody ASK back to 2019 level in the course of 2023;
- LEAP engine deliveries: increase by c.50%;
- Civil aftermarket revenue: up in the low twenties (in USD).
The main risk factor remains the supply chain production capabilities.
- Annual General Meeting May 25, 2023
- H1 2023 results July 27, 2023
- Q3 2023 revenue October 27, 2023
- FY 2023 results February 15, 2024
Safran will host today a webcast for analysts and investors at 8.30 am CET.
- If you only want to follow the webcast and listen the conference call, please register using the following link: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/eyrgz4hw
Use this same link for the replay which will be available 2 hours after the event concludes and remains accessible for 90 days.
- If you want to participate in the Q&A session at the end of the conference, please pre-register using the link below in order to receive by email the connection details (dial-in numbers and personal passcode):
Registration links are also available on Safran’s website under the Finance home page as well as in the "Publications and Results" and "Calendar" sub-sections.
Press release and presentation are available on Safran’s website at www.safran-group.com (Finance section).
1. Segment breakdown
|Segment breakdown of adjusted revenue
(In Euro million)
|Q1 2022||Q1 2023||% change||% change in scope||% change currency||% change organic|
|Equipment & Defense||1,716||1,966||14.6%||0.9%||3.4%||10.3%|
|Holding company & Others||4||2||n/s||n/s||n/s||n/s|
|OE / Services adjusted revenue breakdown
(In Euro million)
|Q1 2022||Q1 2023|
|% of revenue||36.6%||63.4%||40.8%||59.2%|
|Equipment & Defense||1,070||646||1,144||822|
|% of revenue||62.4%||37.6%||58.2%||41.8%|
|% of revenue||70.4%||29.6%||67.6%||32.4%|
5 Retrofit is included in OE
|2022 revenue by quarter
(In Euro million)
|Q1 2022||Q2 2022||Q3 2022||Q4 2022||FY 2022|
|Equipment & Defense||1,716||1,790||1,820||2,209||7,535|
|Holding company & Others||4||4||4||4||16|
|Euro/USD rate||Q1 2022||Q1 2023|
|Average spot rate||1.12||1.07|
|Spot rate (end of period)||1.11||1.09|
2. Number of products delivered on major aerospace programs
|Number of units delivered||Q1 2022||Q1 2023||% change|
|High thrust engines||48||37||-23%|
|A350 landing gears sets||10||12||20%|
|Small nacelles (biz & regional jets)||117||134||15%|
|Business class seats||346||324||-6%|
|A320 emergency slides||1,106||779||-30%|
|787 primary power distribution systems||8||61||x 7.6|
To reflect the Group’s actual economic performance and enable it to be monitored and benchmarked against competitors, Safran prepares an adjusted income statement in addition to its consolidated financial statements.
Safran’s consolidated revenue has been adjusted for the impact of:
- the mark-to-market of foreign currency derivatives, in order to better reflect the economic substance of the Group’s overall foreign currency risk hedging strategy:
- revenue net of purchases denominated in foreign currencies is measured using the effective hedged rate, i.e., including the costs of the hedging strategy,
- all mark-to-market changes on instruments hedging future cash flows are neutralized.
The resulting changes in deferred tax have also been adjusted.
First-quarter 2023 reconciliation between consolidated revenue and adjusted revenue:
(In Euro million)
|Consolidated revenue||Hedge accounting||Business combinations||Adjusted revenue|
|Remeasurement of revenue||Deferred hedging gain (loss)||Amortization intangible assets - Sagem-Snecma||PPA impacts - other business combinations|
IMPORTANT ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
This document contains forward-looking statements relating to Safran, which do not refer to historical facts but refer to expectations based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance, or events to differ materially from those included in such statements. These statements or disclosures may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, synergies, value accretions, plans, events, results of operations or financial condition, or state other information relating to Safran, based on current beliefs of management as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “could,” “would,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project” or other similar words, phrases or expressions. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond Safran’s control. Therefore, investors and shareholders should not place undue reliance on such statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: uncertainties related in particular to the economic, financial, competitive, tax or regulatory environment; the risks that the new businesses will not be integrated successfully or that the combined company will not realize estimated cost savings and synergies; Safran’s ability to successfully implement and complete its plans and strategies and to meet its targets; the benefits from Safran’s plans and strategies being less than anticipated; the risks described in the Universal Registration Document (URD); the full impact of the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Safran does not assume any obligation to update any public information or forward-looking statement in this document to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document, except as may be required by applicable laws.
USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION
This document contains supplemental non-GAAP financial information. Readers are cautioned that these measures are unaudited and not directly reflected in the Group’s financial statements as prepared under International Financial Reporting Standards and should not be considered as a substitute for GAAP financial measures. In addition, such non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled information from other companies.
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Safran is an international high-technology group, operating in the aviation (propulsion, equipment and interiors), defense and space markets. Its core purpose is to contribute to a safer, more sustainable world, where air transport is more environmentally friendly, comfortable and accessible. Safran has a global presence, with 83 000 employees and sales of 19.0 billion euros in 2022, and holds, alone or in partnership, world or regional leadership positions in its core markets. Safran undertakes research and development programs to maintain the environmental priorities of its R&T and innovation roadmap.
Safran is listed on the Euronext Paris stock exchange and is part of the CAC 40 and Euro Stoxx 50 indices.
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